28/02/2024

Hugh Dixon's looks set for a significant price rise as he rucks in Naitanui's absence.

With injuries to key SuperCoach players and rookies still with plenty of value to make, despite their first price rise, this week is as important as ever to make the right trades to fix your side and make some money.

With injuries to key SuperCoach players and rookies still with plenty of value to make, despite their first price rise, this week is as important as ever to make the right trades to fix your side and make some money.

Lowest Breakevens:

Braydon Preuss $204,700: -91 BE, expected price rise $75K (but suspended for Round 5)

Hugh Dixon $164,400: -60 BE, $58K

Nathan O’Driscoll $167,700: -54 BE, $49K

Beau McCreery $210,900: -49 BE, $41K

Willie Rioli $283,100: -40 BE, $54K

Nic Martin $195,500: -40 BE, $58K

SuperCoach Trade Options: Buy

Nic Martin $195,500: It is amazing that only 64.7% of sides have Martin. If you for some reason do not, it is still not too late to make the trade. Martin has great job security in the Bombers side, has scores of 71, 114 and 84 and has the poise and class of a player well beyond his three-game career. He is expected to still make over $200,000 on his current price, so the cash generation is there. In the meantime, he can easily slot into F6, or even F5, to add valuable points to your score.

Hugh Dixon $164,400: With Nic Naitanui out for an extended period of time, all signs point to Dixon being given a good run in the side. A score of 96 last week means his BE is low and he is expected to make at least another $200,000. With the dual position RUC/FWD option, he could come in very useful around the bye period also. In just 48% of teams, if you don’t have him, get him in.

Tom Green $524,500: If you think Tom Green is a midfield keeper come year’s end, now is the time to get him. Still cheap enough, a break-even of just 69 and an average to date of 127 mean his price is going to continue to rise. Expect Green to be worth over $600,000 in the coming weeks. Perhaps a sideways trade is the go, if you have underperforming midfielders such as Patrick Dangerfield or Tom Mitchell, or are worried about Patrick Cripps’ long term value in your side.

Also Consider: Will Brodie $355,000 MID/FWD BE -16, Jack Sinclair $526,400 DEF BE 59

Highest Breakevens:

Sean Darcy $642,600: 235 BE

Touk Miller $627,300: 188 BE

Luke Parker $509,000: 184 BE

Andrew Brayshaw $622,200: 175 BE

Jake Lever $494,800: 170 BE

Christian Petracca $596,600: 168 BE

SuperCoach Trade Options: Sell

Ollie Wines $555,300: Last week’s score of just 53 and the uncertainty of the heart issue mean Wines is a must sell. He could be back in a week or two, or it could drag out for many weeks. It is not worth the risk. There is no point having $555K sitting on your bench for an extended period. A break-even of 156 also means his value will only drop further when he does return. It is doubtful he is a midfield lock come season’s end, so make the sideways trade to someone like Tom Green to reap the rewards.

Patrick Cripps $525,000: Perhaps he is a risk selling so quickly – it all depends on your gut feeling as to how severe the hamstring injury is and what long term effects it will have on his performance. There is no doubt his early-season form normally would make him a keeper going forward, and if you have already used a trade to bring him in, you may be more reluctant to trade him out.

But if you take his previous season’s form with injuries in mind, perhaps it would be best to trade now and not worry. His BE is now 152, so his value is unlikely to increase much more than his current price in the short term. A tough decision but with risk often comes reward.

Nic Naitanui $586,900: A long term injury sees Naitanui set for an extended stint on the sidelines. If you have him, consider Brodie Grundy or Tim English, both are cheaper and in good form to start the season.

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